Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.392335 3.597893 3.816197 4.066471 4.346947 4.653347 5.015830
2024-10-20 3.036438 3.302216 3.597571 3.953696 4.376440 4.868896 5.496340
2024-10-27 2.745953 3.042204 3.382858 3.810113 4.341637 4.995752 5.887040
2024-11-03 2.625576 2.964599 3.368534 3.897097 4.590052 5.499525 6.846819
2024-11-10 2.544249 2.924713 3.393732 4.033833 4.919799 6.167114 8.204913
2024-11-17 2.390196 2.781524 3.275474 3.970159 4.971093 6.459237 9.097110
2024-11-24 2.245300 2.638960 3.145546 3.876115 4.965752 6.666748 9.925114
2024-12-01 2.130155 2.526818 3.046600 3.814408 4.999080 6.942637 10.992122
2024-12-08 2.035178 2.434885 2.967607 3.772729 5.056821 7.272439 12.329535
2024-12-15 1.982922 2.396462 2.958870 3.832834 5.285731 7.963428 14.920942
2024-12-22 1.875573 2.276719 2.827124 3.693101 5.160175 7.949551 15.691565
2024-12-29 1.828850 2.238035 2.808752 3.727805 5.342178 8.607221 19.047010
2025-01-05 1.742154 2.146450 2.718211 3.657518 5.360938 9.007814 22.492745
2025-01-12 1.659499 2.056589 2.624937 3.575181 5.348589 9.353300 26.602699
2025-01-19 1.576290 1.962009 2.519079 3.462980 5.264131 9.509430 30.477353
2025-01-26 1.545982 1.942222 2.525641 3.543338 5.584273 10.906144 49.925072
2025-02-02 1.526134 1.936428 2.553290 3.664521 6.024437 13.009654 123.758854
2025-02-09 1.471832 1.876377 2.490716 3.614945 6.072483 13.864858 278.758946
2025-02-16 1.416328 1.811968 2.417292 3.538236 6.043638 14.440394 1122.994850
2025-02-23 1.370091 1.759601 2.360486 3.488027 6.072551 15.323978 NaN
2025-03-02 1.330275 1.715300 2.314378 3.454233 6.138411 16.486688 NaN
2025-03-09 1.308863 1.698285 2.312444 3.507189 6.447950 19.379787 NaN
2025-03-16 1.258955 1.634951 2.229056 3.388409 6.260271 19.144773 NaN